The death of the Russian IL-20. Speculation and Re

          The death of the Russian IL-20. Speculation and Reality               
                Facts, comments, conclusions, recommendations
First the facts

September 18, 2018 0:49 at https://www.bbc.com/russian/45556354:
"On September 17, at about 23:00 Moscow time, when returning to the Khmeimim airbase over the Mediterranean, 35 kilometers off the coast of Syria, the connection with the crew of the Russian Il-20 aircraft was lost," the Russian Defense Ministry reported.
On board the aircraft of electronic intelligence were 15 military men (in the first report of the Ministry of Defense, it was about 14 military). Their fate is unknown. In the waters of Latakia is conducted a search and rescue operation, it follows from the message.
The Russian Defense Ministry claims that the IL-20 disappeared from radar during the attack of four Israeli F-16 fighters against Syrian targets in the province of Latakia.
"At the same time, Russian radar controls the airspace were recorded missile launches from the French frigate Auvergne in the area," the Russian military said.
September 18, 2018 1:47 on provided more detailed information from the words of the official representative of the Russian Defense Ministry Igor Konashenkov
“The IL-20 VKS was shot down by Syrian air defense weapons during Israeli air strikes against Latakia targets. Killed 15 military men.
September 18, 2018 https://www.bbc.com/russian/news-45558934  reports:
The Russian IL-20 reconnaissance aircraft was shot down by Syrian air defense forces; it was fired by Israeli planes that attacked the province of Latakia. This was stated by the Ministry of Defense of Russia, warning about the right to an adequate response to "hostile actions". In turn, the Israeli military laid the blame on the army of Bashar al-Assad, which led "indiscriminate" fire.
“Hiding behind a Russian plane, Israeli pilots put it under fire from Syria’s air defenses. As a result, the IL-20, which has an effective reflective surface more than the F-16, was shot down by a С-200 missile,” said Defense Minister Igor Konashenkov .
The site lists the Israeli Air Force strikes on Syrian territory on September 17, 2018, attached to this statement by Igor Konashenkov, which shows the flight paths of the aircraft and the time of the main events according to the Russian Defense Ministry. The time of the defeat of the IL-20 is indicated at 22:03, and the location is between Latakia and Khoimimim airport, where the IL-20 was going to land.
The presented version and conclusions about Israel’s guilt in the tragedy and death of 15 Russian servicemen were confirmed by Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and then by Russian President Vladimir Putin, who warned that in response to Israel’s “hostile actions” against it, measures of “adequate actions” could be taken.
September 18, 2018 http://www.9tv.co.il/news/2018/09/20/262112.html  - The Russian military police have arrested all the Syrians involved in the C-200 launch.
September 18, 2018 http://9tv.co.il/news/2018/09/18/262087.html  - Downed Il caused a wave of anti-Semitism in the “runet” of readers and officials at various levels in Russia and abroad.
September 19, 2018 in the wake of the incident with the Russian IL-20 shot down in Syria, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed the situation by telephone with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
September 20, 2018 in order to prove Israel’s innocence of the loss of the IL-20 and the Russian military, Israel sent a delegation of military experts to Russia led by the Commander-in-Chief of the Israeli Air Force Amikam Norkin with a 40-page report of the documented process of the entire operation on September 17, 2018. with an indication of the exact time of its execution from the departure of the aircraft for the operation until they return to the base.
An Israeli military delegation led by Israeli Air Force Commander Lieutenant-General Amikam Norkin held a series of meetings in Moscow with the command of the Russian Air Force, at which a report was presented on the situation in which the Russian IL-20 was shot down by Syrian air defenses, and the results of the investigation The incident carried out by the Israeli military.
Neither Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu nor Russian President Vladimir Putin condescended to meet with the Commander-in-Chief of the Israeli Air Force and did not participate in the discussion of the data presented. Russia rejected the findings of the Israeli Air Force report on the death of the IL-20 in the Syrian sky and demanded that Jerusalem conduct a new investigation.
September 21, 2018  http://www.tv.co.il/news/2018/09/21/262163.html  reports that the Russian edition has brought the opinion of the Israeli military expert, former correspondent of the 9th ITV channel Andrei Kozhinov. Kozhinov noted the lack of need for the F-16 Israeli Air Force to hide behind a Russian plane.
“Firstly, without any cover, the Israelis over the past 18 months have inflicted over 200 blows on Syria. Secondly, technically the F-16 could not hide behind the slow-moving IL-20. Their speed at an angle of attack of at least three times the speed of the Russian aircraft, "- quotes the edition of the expert.
Kozhinov with reference to the official statements of the Russian and Israeli military noted a sufficient number of inconsistencies in such parameters as height, time, distance.
“By the time Syrian air defenses worked, the F-16s had already returned to Israeli airspace. The fighters had left the operational shelling zone before the Russian plane entered,” Kozhinov emphasized. He focused on the interlocutor's attention to the fact that the radar operator cannot be confused with the F-16 and IL-20.
On September 23, 2018, the Ministry of Defense of Russia submitted a report on the IL-20 by the international media, set out below in italic italics, with bracketed serial numbers of comments, set out by the author of this article, or excerpts from the references (sources).
The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation for minutes restored the picture of the death of the IL-20 in Syria on September 17:
“On the evening of September 17, the Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft from 20 hours 31 minutes performed a special task to monitor the situation in the Idlib de-escalation zone. On board were 15 Russian troops. During this period of time (1), a group of four F-16 fighters flew out from the territory of Israel to deliver a surprise attack on industrial facilities in the Syrian Arab Republic. The flight route of the Israeli fighters is displayed on the screen. F-16 fighters, flying over the neutral waters of the Mediterranean, occupied a patrol area 90 kilometers west of the city of Lattakia (2).
At 21:39, a representative of the Israeli Air Force commander in the military rank of colonel notified the command of the Russian group of troops in Syria about the impending attack on targets on the deconflicting channel. The idea was that in the next few minutes Israel would strike at facilities located in northern Syria (3). One minute later, at 21:40, four Israeli F-16 aircraft struck the GBU-39 guided bombs at industrial sites in the province of Lattakia (4).
Thus, the Israeli side, in violation of the existing agreements, notified the Russian group of its operation not in advance, but simultaneously with the start of the strikes. These actions are in direct violation of the 2015 Russian-Israeli agreements to prevent incidents between our armed forces in the Syrian sector, reached as part of the joint working group. The position of the aircraft at the time of impact, you can see on the screen display system information on air traffic.
I would like to point out again that during the negotiations on the deconflicting line, a representative of the Israeli Air Force headquarters said that the targets on which it is planned to strike Israeli aircraft are located in northern Syria. The conversation was conducted in Russian. The Russian Ministry of Defense has an audio recording of this conversation. The commander of the IL-20, located in the north of Syria, received instructions to leave the area of the mission to the south and return to the base.
As you see on the map, the attacks of the Israeli Air Force were not inflicted in the northern part of the Syrian Arab Republic, but in the region of Latakia, which is its western province. And the city of Latakia itself is located on the west coast of the country. Misleading an Israeli officer about the area of fighter strikes did not allow the Russian IL-20 to be launched to a safe area.
In addition, the location of the Israeli F-16 (5) was not indicated.
At 21:51, Syrian anti-aircraft defenses began to repel an Israeli attack and began launching anti-aircraft missiles (6). After the strike, Israeli planes again took up a zone of duty in the air 70 km west of the coast of Syria, putting radio-electronic interference and, probably, preparing to deliver a second strike (7).
At 21:59 one of the Israeli planes began a maneuver in the direction of the coast of Syria, moving closer to the IL-20 that made the landing approach (7). This was perceived by the calculations of the Syrian air defense for a new attack by Israeli aircraft. The Israeli pilot could not help but realize that the effective reflecting surface of the IL-20 aircraft significantly exceeds the similar surface of the F-16, and it is the Russian aircraft that will be the preferred target for an anti-aircraft missile (8).
The Israelis also knew that in the Armed Forces of Russia and Syria different systems of “one’s own — someone’s” identification were used, and the Syrian radar stations could identify the IL-20 as a group target of Israeli fighters. During this period, the IL-20 plane, which turned around for landing at the Khmeymim airfield, turned out to be in the direction of the Syrian air defense weapons on Israeli aircraft. I emphasize that, observing the Russian IL-20, the Israeli fighters hid behind them from anti-aircraft missiles (9), continuing to maneuver in the area.
At 22:03, a Syrian anti-aircraft missile hit a larger and near target - the IL-20. The crew commander reported on the fire on board and the start of an emergency descent. At 22:07, the mark of the Russian IL-20 reconnaissance aircraft disappeared from the radar screens. At the same time, Israeli aircraft did not go into their airspace, but remained in the same area and continued to be on air duty until 22:40.
At 22:29, the duty officer of the command of the Russian group in Syria brought an Israeli officer at the command post of the Air Force that the Russian IL-20 plane was in distress: "We demand to divert your funds from the area, as we use rescue equipment." An Israeli officer in the rank of lieutenant replied: "Received information, I will bring to command." At 22:40 the F-16 fighters left the zone. After that, only at 22:53, that is, 50 minutes after a Russian IL-20 missile hit, the operational duty officer of the Israeli Air Force command center, with the rank of colonel, contacted and said: “Your information about the IL-20 disaster has been received. We cleared the zone. If help is needed, we are ready to help. ”
The objective data presented indicate that the actions of Israeli fighter pilots, which led to the death of 15 Russian servicemen, speak either of their lack of professionalism, or at least of criminal negligence. Therefore, we believe that the blame for the tragedy with the Russian IL-20 lies entirely on the Air Force of Israel and those who made the decision on this kind of activity!
I emphasize that the actions of the Israeli Air Force fighters on the evening of September 17 were carried out in the area of the landing approach to the Khmeimim airfield, not only military but also civilian passenger aircraft. Thus, Israeli fighters created a direct threat to any passenger and transport aircraft that could be there at that time and become victims of the adventurism of the Israeli military (10).
At present, a search operation is being carried out at the site of the fall of the Russian Il-20 aircraft, 27 kilometers west of the port of Banias, to retrieve the bodies of the dead and the wreckage of the aircraft from the water (11).

Comments by the author

1. Departure time is determined in hours and minutes, and not in periods calculated in years, months, weeks, days).
2. The patrol route is not displayed on the screen and the purpose of the patrol is not clear if they flew to bomb the objects and return without loss.
3. If earlier they had to bomb near Damascus, located closer to the southern border, then Latakia, of course, is much more north, and the planes flew to the north of Syria, and there are objects both in the western and eastern territories.
4. The Israelis warned that in the next few minutes they would launch an attack on the objects and, a minute later, they began it, making sure that there were no planes in the attack zone. Little time was given for what? To launch the C-400 and C-200 radars that missed the appearance of Israeli fighters and the flight of cruise missiles launched by a French frigate? This minute was enough to frighten the commander of the IL-20, who worked in the Itlib area and recommend him, just in case, to return to the base, keeping to the south. And why not lead him, controlling the situation? And why was it necessary to stop work? Could it really be that guided bombs intended for weapons depots in the Latakia region could “overshoot” and damage the aircraft flying in the Itlib area?
5. What are radars for? Or is it in case of sleeping radars and their operators?
6. What kind of reflection of the Israeli attack can there be, 11 minutes after the launch of the missiles at the object, if a few minutes later, as soon as the dust settled, the pilots reported on the destruction of the object and returning without loss. IL - 20 at this time somewhere flew at an altitude of 5000 meters, not yet landing. Before the fatal hit of a stray Syrian air defense missile, if you believe the data of the Russian Ministry of Defense, it was 12 minutes.
 7. Why is the diagram not marked “place of duty”, where they had to wait for something, if the result was already known? What was the point of the Israeli pilot to take risks after completing the mission or to substitute the IL-20 if the agreement with Russia set a goal to avoid losses on each side? How did the Israeli pilots manage to this case, 200 times attacking Iranian objects without the support of any foreign aircraft? See http://newsru.co.il/mideast/02dec2017/syria_il_101.html
8. What the Israeli pilot could know or think, or why the installation could take a big target for the group - this is from the field of speculation, which cannot serve as a basis for launching a rocket to hit a target. If this can be - the installation is dangerous to operate, especially if it does not have a “friend-to-others” recognition program.
9. Here are all four high-speed F-16s covering themselves with one IL-20, "continuing to maneuver in the area." This is how one must not respect either the readers or the listeners in order to speak such things. "Idiocy hits the eyes and ears." The desire to analyze something disappears.
10. This is not the adventurism of the Israeli military, but of the Russian leadership, who transferred the installation to Syria without recognition of “friend or foe” and forced by its installation
С-400 to duplicate the work of Syrian operators, for a long time thinking: “beat or not beat”?
This is confirmed by the instantaneous response of the Russian leadership, who on September 18, 2018, the Russian military police arrested all Syrians who were involved in launching missiles from the C-200 installation http://www.9tv.co.il/news/2018/09/20/ 262112.html. I wonder what legal norms the Russian military police are guided by when arresting citizens of a foreign country on their own territory?
11. The first message of the Russian Ministry of Defense that “on September 17 at about 23:00 Moscow time, when returning to Hamim’s air base over the Mediterranean, 35 kilometers off the coast of Syria, the connection with the crew of the Russian IL-20 aircraft was lost”, which remained unchanged in the report of the Ministry of Defense of Russia of 09/23/2018 despite the fact that the plane was hit by a Syrian air defense missile at 22:03 pm, when the crew commander reported a fire on board and the start of an emergency descent, and at 22:07 pm the mark of the Russian IL-20 reconnaissance aircraft disappeared from the radar screens causes tse a number of questions:
 - 57 minutes there were no attempts to contact the burning plane? Or would it be more correct to report that “the connection with the plane was lost at 22:03?
- If the plane was shot down while landing at Hmeimim airport, as it turned out
"27 kilometers west of the port of Banias, where a search operation is being carried out to extract the bodies of the dead and the wreckage of the plane from the water," that is, 40 km. south of the point of defeat?
- How can one explain that an electronic reconnaissance aircraft, equipped with special equipment for these purposes and highly qualified specialists on board, entered the danger zone, knowing that it could get into the firing zone of Syrian air defense and attacking Israeli fighters, who managed to “substitute” it, hiding for him? For children of what age is this tale intended? Or for idiots at any age?
- Why did the C-200 installation need Israeli airplanes to bring down the IL-20? To justify "at the same time", although "at the same time" when the F16 shot out
(at 21:40), IL- 20 patrolled in the Itliba area? But after all, when the IL-20 flew up to the landing site, the C-200 installation, starting at 21:51, continuously launched missiles in all directions, and the aircraft, equipped with all radar facilities, could notice that the approach zone was dangerous and could be contacted with flight control for clarification?
- What is the most likely decision of the Hague court if there is a lawsuit filed against the Russian leadership “For slandering the Israeli Air Force accused of killing IL-20 and 15 servicemen aboard it”?

conclusions

1. Despite the documents submitted by the Russian leadership on the innocence of the Israeli Air Force in the death of September 17, 2018. IL-20 aircraft with 15 servicemen on board,
The Russian leadership ignored the evidence of such innocence and told the international community that the blame lies on the Israeli Air Force, which substituted the IL-20 for firing on Syrian air defenses, hiding behind them.
2. The Russian leadership regards such actions of the Israeli Air Force as hostile and reserves the right to take adequate measures, “who will notice everything,” in order to stop the Israeli air raids on the territory of sovereign Syria to destroy Iran’s precision-guided missile targets (according to version of Israel) for Hezbollah.
3. The Russian leadership realized its reaction, retaining in the report of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation of September 23, 2018. all charges of the report from 18.09.2018. regarding the Israeli Air Force, presenting it to the international media, which caused an angry stream of anti-Semitism, both among the population and among officials at various levels in Russia and abroad.
4. The Russian leadership announced the decision immediately, no later than two weeks, to deliver the C-300 complexes to Syria and on October 2, 2018 completed the delivery. https://ria.ru/syria/20181002/1529846840.html Minister S.Shoigu reported to the Federation Council "... strengthening the Syrian air defense systems is aimed primarily at protecting the Russian military." According to him, the delivery of the C-300 complex to Damascus is completed.
"This includes 49 pieces of equipment: lighting locators, of course, the main definition systems, control machines and four launchers," explained Shoigu.
5. In the event of the death of Russian servicemen, the Russian leadership promises not only to shoot down planes, but also their bases, thus provoking Israeli response, the possible use of nuclear potential on both sides or, if at least one rocket hits the nuclear warhead storage, unpredictable disaster for the entire planet Earth. And all this is due to the connivance of Iran in its openly declared and unleashed war on the destruction of Israel, forcing the latter to avoid an open clash with Iran by all possible means, knowing that this could lead to a clash of super powers and escalating into a third world war. Who needs it? Does Israel lay claim to any Iranian territory or break into Iran’s internal problems if they are not aimed at the destruction of Israel?
Keep in mind! In the event of a conflict with the use of nuclear potential, it is possible that aliens, jealously watching the dangerous games of humanity, will take part in the case on any side.
6. With the delivery of Syria installations C-300, the danger of a conflict between Russia and Israel increases many times, taking into account that Iran prefers to build its facilities near Russian-based centers, covered by installations C-400, and now C-300, which are controlled by Russia cannot fully transfer the trust to Syria without violating its own legislation, due to the presence of the “friend or foe” program. The presence of Russian military personnel, including the military police and their service personnel, is continuously increasing. The probability of the death of Russian citizens increases dramatically, as the case with the IL-20 shows, through no fault of the Israeli air force.
7. By participating in the fight against the proclaimed state of ISIS, which symbolizes Islamic terror, Russia openly supports Iran and its accomplices in the person of Hezbollah, Hamas, the Palestinian Authority, who invest enormous funds in the program of destroying Israel by terror and military confrontation.
8. The entire course of the operation of the Israeli Air Force on September 17, 2018. and the reaction of the representatives of the Russian Defense Ministry in Syria to prevent the death of the IL-20 aircraft and the 15 servicemen on board testifies that the Russian Defense Ministry itself is most to blame for this tragedy, which did not provide competent guidance for the actions of the aircraft’s crew his rocket defeats with the installation of the C-200.
9. The very reaction of the Russian leadership, including President Vladimir Putin of Russia and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, who claimed the Israeli Air Force was responsible for the death of the IL-20 aircraft and the 15 servicemen on board before investigating the chronology of the events presented by the Israeli Air Force, speaks about Syria’s supply of C-300 complexes, for which Israel was to be guilty, regardless of the facts.

Recommendations

The root of evil is:
1. In the politicization of the main religions, multiplied by the ambitions of the patriarchs themselves, whose well-being depends on the number of believers, their sacrifices and income from the sale of religious rituals and services (preschool education, educational, social, legal, judicial). It is necessary to urgently hold a conciliatory congress of representatives of all religions with the refusal first of all:
- from any violence to other believers,
- from the clear separation of the concepts "Jew" (ethnos) and "Jew" (faith),
- from the concept of “chosenness” of the people of the Jewish religion, as the basis of a privileged attitude towards believers in their one god,
- from the public demonstration of their commitment to a particular God or an object of faith. Communication with the subject of faith should be intimate, excluding religious holidays.
2. In the insufficient propaganda of scientific knowledge that God is a product of the vital activity of the human brain, physically absent and present only in the human imagination. The main virtues of mankind should be promoted by parents and educational institutions and their violation should be instructive for others to be punished, allowing the offender to correct, if his offense did not result in the death of the victim.
3. In the confrontation of states in the struggle for hegemony in the volume of production and sale of weapons, encouraging regional wars, in the seizure of raw materials and enrichment primarily of the ruling elite.
4. In violation of international decisions and laws aimed at the observance of human rights. The creation of a Jewish state in the territory designated for this purpose by the Decision of the League of Nations of April 24, 1920, retaining today the force of the law of international law, which by its Decision of July 24, 1922, obliged England to facilitate the realization of this right by the Jews, was effectively grossly violated by England first, and then by the United Nations (UN), which recommended creating a Jewish and Arab state on the territory designated for the creation of Jewish states, which contradicted the essence of the decision The establishment of the State of Israel created the reason for the Arab countries surrounding the State of Israel to start a war with it to destroy it, which has not stopped until now.

Solution:

 - in the transfer of a population that does not agree with the existence of the Jewish state of Israel, including for religious reasons (ultra-Orthodox Jews and Islamists), to the places of their former residence or other countries.
 - In establishing friendly relations of Israel with the Arab countries surrounding it and the use of Israel’s scientific and technological potential in the development of economic and social infrastructures, including health, agricultural production, water and energy resources, and tourism.
- In order to establish the true culprits of the tragedy with the IL-20 aircraft and, taking into account the danger to the international community, the deployment of C-300 complexes in Syria and the continuation of Iran’s policy of deploying guided missiles in Syria and other countries close to Israel, it is necessary to create an international independent commission to investigate the incident with the IL-20 plane or to transfer to the Hague court a “suit for defamation” against the Russian leadership and other Russian officials.

© Copyright: Sheidin Anatoly (Anshay Din) 2018
Translation into English is done with the help of an electronic translator.
The author is not responsible for poor-quality translation.
Original- in Russian http://www.proza.ru/2018/10/08/1364


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