Pandemic and government

This is a translation of an original text using Google translator (Thanks to the developers)

A model for assessing the performance of governments in a pandemic.

Very short. For assessment at the first stage, four indicators are used, the data for which are taken from the Internet
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

1. The population
2. The number of tests performed
3. The number of detected infections
4. The number of deaths from Kovid19
In order to remove the influence of state size, indicators 2-3 are normalized to population size
1. Tests / population
2. Cases of infection / population
3. Deaths from Covid19 / population

For standard indicators 2-3, ranking tables are constructed for all 215 countries and regions from the highest to the lowest

Thus, each country (territory) received a fixed RANK on three lists. From 1 - to 215

The difference in rank between TESTS and CASES makes it possible to evaluate the response of governments to INFECTIONS

The positive value of DIFFERENCE can be interpreted as the increased attention of governments to the threat to public health.
However, we cannot separate the purely economic or administrative measures taken.
For example, if a country takes 3rd place according to TESTS, and 5th according to INFECTIONS, then the rating will be 5 - 3 = 2
If the country takes the 12th place according to TESTS and the 9th by INFECTIONS, then the rating will be 9 - 12 = - 3

Governments' response to MORTALITY can be assessed in exactly the same way, using the MORTALITY indicator instead of CASES

Since this model is purely conceptual, empirical, in order to reduce the pathos of accuracy, rank tables were transformed into ball scores. Only 5 groups of approximately 40 countries each. The highest rating - 5 is assigned to countries 1 to 43, 4 - from 44 to 86, etc.

As a result, we got two ranking tables of countries with an assessment of the actions of governments a) depending on cases of MORTALITY
and b) depending on the cases of INFECTION
-----------------------------------------------
Positioning these tables by the absolute value of the difference in ranks, we sort of evaluate the actions of governments on a scale at one end of which is SOCIALITY (This is when the government is diligent with TESTS) and ECONOMY (This is when the government saves on tests). The tests in this case are simply an INDEX, on the assumption that the efforts of Governments are "proportional" to the number of tests.

Some conclusions can also be drawn from a comparison of these two ranking tables by subtracting the ranks for each country.

At the same time, three groups of countries reappear
Those who have the same incidence and mortality grades
Those with an attitude toward mortality “higher” than with cases of DISEASE, and those with an attitude toward MORTALITY lower ...

Honestly, I do not know what is good and what is bad in this case. This is a question for EXPERTS in the field of health and depends on the GOAL for the health system.


Рецензии