Nikola Tesla on the Average Duration of Earth Wars

Abstract
According to Nikola Tesla, the average duration of earthly wars is 5-6 years. His assessment is confirmed by the history of Russia's participation in military events in the period 1787-2014.

Text
Nikola Tesla's assessment of the average duration of earthly wars in the past millennium is interesting.
Here is a quote from his letter to the New York Herald, April 15, 1917 - NIKOLA TESLA TELLS OF COUNTRY'S WAR PROBLEMS:
"War, however complex, is essentially a mechanical process, and, in conformity with a universal principle, its duration must be proportionate to the masses set in motion.
The truth of this law is borne out by previous records, from which it may be calculated that, barring conditions entirely out of the ordinary, the period should be from five to six years".
It seemed curious: to what extent his assessment is applicable to armed conflicts involving Russia.
From the wiki article "List of wars and armed conflicts of Russia":
From 860 to 2014, Russia participated in 188 military events. At the same time, the linear dependence of the event date on its serial number in the historical sequence begins approximately in 1787.
According to statistical analysis of the dynamics of the duration of 76 military events in the interval 1787-2014, the average duration of the event - 4 years - coincides with the estimate of Nikola Tesla.
The graph of the dynamics of military events in the interval 1787-2014 shows a wave-like rhythm with a period of approximately 156 years - this is 14 solar cycles or 22 seconds of the galactic year.
The rhythm allows us to hope that in the current decade the duration of military events with the official participation of Russia will not exceed 4 years, plus or minus 1 year.

Appendix 22dec2022
The schedule for the production of weapons for the SVO has been formed until 2025 - the Russian Ministry of Defense.
Details: regnum.ru/news/economy/3763566.html
Any use of materials is allowed only with a hyperlink to the REGNUM news agency.

Appendix 22oct2024
The IMF has worsened its forecast for the end of the conflict in Ukraine - under a negative scenario, the conflict in Ukraine will end in mid-2026.
It seems that this is a positive scenario, because the IMF's assessment coincides with the average duration of military events with the official participation of Russia - 4 years plus or minus 1 year.
And it is more likely to be plus than minus 1 year - the conflict is very beneficial to all the organizers, participants and fans.